SB
Statera Biopharma, Inc. (STAB)·Q1 2014 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2014 narrowed losses and burn: net loss attributable to CBLI was $1.59M ($0.03/share) vs $9.76M ($0.22/share) in Q1 2013, driven by lower operating expenses and a favorable non‑cash warrant revaluation; consolidated monthly cash burn(
$1.0M) and standalone burn($0.8M) were materially below guidance . - Revenue was essentially flat at $1.33M vs $1.37M in Q1 2013, with mix shifting away from U.S. government to Russian Federation contracts tied to Entolimod oncology and Mobilan grants .
- Execution milestones: pre‑EUA meeting with FDA targeted for July; CBL0137 Phase 1 IV in cohort 3 and oral in cohort 7 with interim oral data planned in Q3; CBL0102 Phase 1 achieved recommended Phase 2 dose and signs of activity; healthy subject studies for Entolimod and CBLB612 advancing in Russia .
- Liquidity runway reiterated into Q1 2015; subsequent to the quarter, company reduced debt via $3.5M private placement and $4M loan paydown with Hercules (catalyst to de‑risk balance sheet) .
- No Wall Street consensus estimates were available from S&P Global for STAB for Q1 2014; beat/miss vs Street cannot be determined (S&P Global consensus unavailable).
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Material OpEx reduction: “Research and development expenses for Q1 2014 decreased by $2.9 million or 54%… reported at $2.4 million… [drivers] completion of… NHP trial, narrowed Panacela, and completion of CBL0102 study.”
- Oncology progress: “Dosing of the third cohort is underway in the intravenous study, and recruitment of our seventh cohort was recently initiated in the oral studies… interim report… in the third quarter.”
- Regulatory path clarity: “Preparations are well underway for July meeting with the U.S. Food and Drug Administration to evaluate the potential for a pre‑emergency use authorization (pre‑EUA) submission for the Entolimod radiation countermeasure program.”
What Went Wrong
- Funding headwind: BARDA terminated negotiations for Entolimod radiation countermeasure “noting that all such negotiations are subject to the availability of funds,” forcing pivot to pre‑EUA path and partnerships .
- Revenue mix shift indicates reduced U.S. support: “Revenue… flat… [but] shift… from the US government… to the Russian Federation related to… grants… for Entolimod oncology and Mobilan.”
- NASDAQ bid deficiency notice (prior quarter context): Company did not meet $1.00 minimum bid; risk of delisting if not remedied, requiring strategic actions (reverse split option) .
Financial Results
KPIs and Liquidity
Segment breakdown: Revenue is grants/contracts; no segment reporting. Mix shifted from U.S. government (down ~$400K YoY) toward Russian Federation grants tied to Mobilan and oncology programs .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Execution of our operational objectives for 2014 is on schedule… preparations are well underway for our July meeting with the U.S. Food and Drug Administration to evaluate the potential for a pre‑EUA submission for the Entolimod radiation countermeasure program.” — CEO Yakov Kogan .
- “CBLI’s consolidated monthly cash burn was $1 million, which favorably compares to our guidance of $1.7 million or $1.8 million per month… we continue to believe CBLI standalone cash resources will last into the first quarter of 2015.” — CFO Neil Lyons .
- “Very encouraged by the outcome of [CBL0102]… recommended Phase 2 dose of 400 milligrams per day was established… partial tumor regression… disease stabilization in four other patients.” — CEO Yakov Kogan summarizing program .
- “Partnering in the Entolimod radiation countermeasure program is paramount… we do not wish to remain solely dependent on government funding.” — CEO Yakov Kogan .
Q&A Highlights
- FDA July meeting scenarios: Management expects several months to compile the pre‑EUA dossier after a positive meeting; no formal PDUFA timelines for pre‑EUA .
- Entolimod oncology Phase 1: Dose escalation continues; further information after MTD identification and better DLT characterization; no unusual drug‑related events seen .
- Pre‑EUA goal clarified: Next step post‑meeting is submitting the pre‑EUA application; team is compiling package sections now .
- Resourcing and medical leadership: Acting CMO (Dr. Langdon Miller) engaged; search for permanent CMO not active given satisfactory progress .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global Wall Street consensus estimates for Q1 2014 EPS and revenue were unavailable for STAB; as a result, comparison vs Street and beat/miss determination cannot be made (S&P Global consensus unavailable).
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Near‑term catalysts: FDA July pre‑EUA meeting; Q3 interim oral CBL0137 readout; initiation of healthy subject studies for Entolimod and CBLB612 — potential to shift regulatory narrative and de‑risk oncology assets .
- Burn trending materially below guidance; liquidity runway into Q1’15 provides time to execute milestones; subsequent debt reduction strengthens balance sheet positioning .
- Revenue flat but mix shifted away from U.S. government to Russian Federation grants; expect continued variability given contract timing; focus remains on data readouts to attract partners .
- Regulatory path is tangible (pre‑EUA) despite BARDA funding setback; partnership strategy emphasized to reduce funding concentration risk .
- Oncology optionality: CBL0102 showed signals; CBL0137 advancing; these programs can create medium‑term value independent of radiation countermeasure trajectory .
- Trading implications: Watch for pre‑EUA meeting outcome and Q3 CBL0137 interim; favorable burn and any financing on improved terms could be stock catalysts; conversely, regulatory delays or lack of additional funding may pressure shares .
Sources: Q1 2014 8‑K earnings press release and financial statements ; Q1 2014 earnings call transcript ; Q4 2013 8‑K press release and call ; Jan 23, 2014 BARDA update 8‑K ; June 16 & 20, 2014 8‑Ks (governance/ATM and debt reduction) .