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Statera Biopharma, Inc. (STAB)·Q1 2014 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2014 narrowed losses and burn: net loss attributable to CBLI was $1.59M ($0.03/share) vs $9.76M ($0.22/share) in Q1 2013, driven by lower operating expenses and a favorable non‑cash warrant revaluation; consolidated monthly cash burn($1.0M) and standalone burn($0.8M) were materially below guidance .
  • Revenue was essentially flat at $1.33M vs $1.37M in Q1 2013, with mix shifting away from U.S. government to Russian Federation contracts tied to Entolimod oncology and Mobilan grants .
  • Execution milestones: pre‑EUA meeting with FDA targeted for July; CBL0137 Phase 1 IV in cohort 3 and oral in cohort 7 with interim oral data planned in Q3; CBL0102 Phase 1 achieved recommended Phase 2 dose and signs of activity; healthy subject studies for Entolimod and CBLB612 advancing in Russia .
  • Liquidity runway reiterated into Q1 2015; subsequent to the quarter, company reduced debt via $3.5M private placement and $4M loan paydown with Hercules (catalyst to de‑risk balance sheet) .
  • No Wall Street consensus estimates were available from S&P Global for STAB for Q1 2014; beat/miss vs Street cannot be determined (S&P Global consensus unavailable).

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Material OpEx reduction: “Research and development expenses for Q1 2014 decreased by $2.9 million or 54%… reported at $2.4 million… [drivers] completion of… NHP trial, narrowed Panacela, and completion of CBL0102 study.”
  • Oncology progress: “Dosing of the third cohort is underway in the intravenous study, and recruitment of our seventh cohort was recently initiated in the oral studies… interim report… in the third quarter.”
  • Regulatory path clarity: “Preparations are well underway for July meeting with the U.S. Food and Drug Administration to evaluate the potential for a pre‑emergency use authorization (pre‑EUA) submission for the Entolimod radiation countermeasure program.”

What Went Wrong

  • Funding headwind: BARDA terminated negotiations for Entolimod radiation countermeasure “noting that all such negotiations are subject to the availability of funds,” forcing pivot to pre‑EUA path and partnerships .
  • Revenue mix shift indicates reduced U.S. support: “Revenue… flat… [but] shift… from the US government… to the Russian Federation related to… grants… for Entolimod oncology and Mobilan.”
  • NASDAQ bid deficiency notice (prior quarter context): Company did not meet $1.00 minimum bid; risk of delisting if not remedied, requiring strategic actions (reverse split option) .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2013Q4 2013Q1 2014
Revenue ($USD)$1,367,472 $3,871,632 $1,334,254
Net Loss attributable to CBLI ($USD)$(9,764,323) $(365,247) $(1,585,372)
EPS, basic & diluted ($USD)$(0.22) $(0.01) $(0.03)
Research & Development ($USD)$5,331,615 $4,616,068 $2,439,773
General & Administrative ($USD)$3,483,372 $2,251,722 $2,413,543
Total Operating Expenses ($USD)$8,814,987 $6,867,790 $4,853,316
Loss from Operations ($USD)$(7,447,515) $(2,996,158) $(3,519,062)

KPIs and Liquidity

KPIQ1 2013Q4 2013Q1 2014
Cash & Equivalents (end of period, $USD)$19,769,013 $10,048,466 $13,391,697
Short‑term Investments ($USD)$2,633,944 $305,538 $280,213
Restricted Cash ($USD)$1,577,920 $2,921,724 $2,679,559
Deferred Revenue ($USD)$3,314,918 $1,069,438 $1,086,720
Consolidated Net Monthly Cash Burn ($USD)$(2,410,051) N/A$(1,012,365)
CBLI Standalone Net Monthly Cash Burn ($USD)$(1,537,060) N/A$(763,578)
Weighted Avg Shares (basic)44,826,576 45,170,429 49,968,131

Segment breakdown: Revenue is grants/contracts; no segment reporting. Mix shifted from U.S. government (down ~$400K YoY) toward Russian Federation grants tied to Mobilan and oncology programs .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent Guidance / ActualChange
Monthly Cash Burn – CBLI Standalone ($USD)CY 2014 avg$1.1–$1.2M per month Q1 actual ~$0.8M per month; guidance maintained Maintained; Q1 favorable vs guidance
Monthly Cash Burn – Consolidated ($USD)CY 2014 avg$1.7–$1.8M per month Q1 actual ~$1.0M per month; guidance maintained Maintained; Q1 favorable vs guidance
Liquidity runway (CBLI standalone)ThroughInto Q1 2015 Reiterated into Q1 2015 Maintained
Entolimod radiation countermeasure spendingFY 201420–25% of 2013 spending Biodefense spending down; drivers consistent with guidance Maintained directional
G&A trendFY 2014~10% reduction overall Q1 G&A down YoY drivers; directional maintained Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2013, Q4 2013)Current Period (Q1 2014)Trend
Entolimod pre‑EUA strategyDose conversion work; pre‑EUA targeted; FDA meeting request July FDA meeting planned; compiling pre‑EUA sections Progressing toward regulatory milestone
BARDA fundingActive negotiation noted Negotiations terminated due to lack of funds; pivot to pre‑EUA Funding pivot; partnership emphasis
CBL0137 developmentIV trial initiated; oral cohorts enrolling IV cohort 3; oral cohort 7; interim oral data in Q3 Advancing dose escalation; nearer data readout
CBL0102 outcomeStudy nearing readout Phase 1 achieved RP2D (400 mg/day) with partial regression and disease stabilization Completed Phase 1 with signals
Healthy subject studies (Entolimod, CBLB612)Planned/granted funding On track to start later in year; design endpoints specified Execution starting
Financing & liquidityHercules loan, Russian contracts Runway into Q1’15; burn favorable; pursuing strategic financing options Strengthened plan; later debt reduction
Market/ListingNASDAQ bid price deficiency notice Management acknowledged share price pressure; director nominees & governance actions Governance refresh; compliance risk remains

Management Commentary

  • “Execution of our operational objectives for 2014 is on schedule… preparations are well underway for our July meeting with the U.S. Food and Drug Administration to evaluate the potential for a pre‑EUA submission for the Entolimod radiation countermeasure program.” — CEO Yakov Kogan .
  • “CBLI’s consolidated monthly cash burn was $1 million, which favorably compares to our guidance of $1.7 million or $1.8 million per month… we continue to believe CBLI standalone cash resources will last into the first quarter of 2015.” — CFO Neil Lyons .
  • “Very encouraged by the outcome of [CBL0102]… recommended Phase 2 dose of 400 milligrams per day was established… partial tumor regression… disease stabilization in four other patients.” — CEO Yakov Kogan summarizing program .
  • “Partnering in the Entolimod radiation countermeasure program is paramount… we do not wish to remain solely dependent on government funding.” — CEO Yakov Kogan .

Q&A Highlights

  • FDA July meeting scenarios: Management expects several months to compile the pre‑EUA dossier after a positive meeting; no formal PDUFA timelines for pre‑EUA .
  • Entolimod oncology Phase 1: Dose escalation continues; further information after MTD identification and better DLT characterization; no unusual drug‑related events seen .
  • Pre‑EUA goal clarified: Next step post‑meeting is submitting the pre‑EUA application; team is compiling package sections now .
  • Resourcing and medical leadership: Acting CMO (Dr. Langdon Miller) engaged; search for permanent CMO not active given satisfactory progress .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global Wall Street consensus estimates for Q1 2014 EPS and revenue were unavailable for STAB; as a result, comparison vs Street and beat/miss determination cannot be made (S&P Global consensus unavailable).

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near‑term catalysts: FDA July pre‑EUA meeting; Q3 interim oral CBL0137 readout; initiation of healthy subject studies for Entolimod and CBLB612 — potential to shift regulatory narrative and de‑risk oncology assets .
  • Burn trending materially below guidance; liquidity runway into Q1’15 provides time to execute milestones; subsequent debt reduction strengthens balance sheet positioning .
  • Revenue flat but mix shifted away from U.S. government to Russian Federation grants; expect continued variability given contract timing; focus remains on data readouts to attract partners .
  • Regulatory path is tangible (pre‑EUA) despite BARDA funding setback; partnership strategy emphasized to reduce funding concentration risk .
  • Oncology optionality: CBL0102 showed signals; CBL0137 advancing; these programs can create medium‑term value independent of radiation countermeasure trajectory .
  • Trading implications: Watch for pre‑EUA meeting outcome and Q3 CBL0137 interim; favorable burn and any financing on improved terms could be stock catalysts; conversely, regulatory delays or lack of additional funding may pressure shares .

Sources: Q1 2014 8‑K earnings press release and financial statements ; Q1 2014 earnings call transcript ; Q4 2013 8‑K press release and call ; Jan 23, 2014 BARDA update 8‑K ; June 16 & 20, 2014 8‑Ks (governance/ATM and debt reduction) .